Waltham Forest

276 determined applications · 2023–2025

67%
Refusal rate
Among London's highest refusal rates
Verified
460
Applications analysed
Every small-site application (1–9 units) in the analysis window
Verified
Verified 66.7% refusal rate — 184 of 276 decided applications refused
Two in three applications refused. Only Croydon and Havering are worse.
Verified AH contribution sought from 1+ units
Unlike most boroughs with exemptions below 10, Waltham Forest seeks contributions on all sizes.
Verified 30.1% of approved schemes compressed
Nearly a third of approved schemes lose units. Material impact on yield assumptions.

The full report

  • 40–55 page report (HTML & PDF) with evidence-graded findings
  • Density matrix by site type with P20–P75 ranges
  • PTAL-adjusted density lookup table
  • Viability model with cliff chart and sensitivity analysis
  • Area-level approval rate benchmarks
  • Refusal reason analysis with frequency data
  • Conservation area risk assessment

Decision tools

  • Before-you-bid checklist: site-level due diligence prompts
  • Before-you-submit checklist: application quality checks
  • Underlying data in Excel for your own analysis
  • Market Liquidity analysis (speed-of-sale data)

Methodology

  • Complete dataset, not a sample — every determined application
  • Four evidence tiers: Verified, Moderate, Indicative, Anecdotal
  • Statistical tests with sample sizes and significance levels

Borough Intelligence Reports from £1,500. Includes 12 months of free quarterly updates.

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Reports delivered via the members’ platform. Includes HTML & PDF report, Excel data, and Market Snapshot.

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Download the free Market Snapshot. Key findings, one page, no commitment.